Six equations in search of a finite-fold-ness proof

By following the same construction pattern which Martin Davis proposed in a 1968 paper of his, we have obtained six quaternary quartic Diophantine equations that candidate as `rule-them-all' equations: proving that one of them has only a finite number of integer solutions would suffice to ensure that each recursively enumerable set admits a finite-fold polynomial Diophantine representation

TECNOB Study: Ad Interim Results of a Randomized Controlled Trial of a Multidisciplinary Telecare Intervention for Obese Patients with Type-2 Diabetes

Background: Obesity increases the risk of many health complications such as hypertension, coronary heart disease and type 2 diabetes, needs long-lasting treatment for effective results and involves high public and private care-costs. Therefore, it is imperative that enduring and low-cost clinical programs for obesity and related co-morbidities are developed and evaluated. Information and communication technologies (ICT) can help clinicians to deliver treatment in a costeffective and time-saving manner to a large number of obese individuals with co-morbidities. Objective: To examine ad interim effectiveness of a 12-month multidisciplinary telecare intervention for weight loss provided to obese patients with type 2 diabetes. Design, Setting, and Participants: A single-center randomized controlled trial (TECNOB study) started in December 2008. At present, 72 obese patients with type 2 diabetes have been recruited and randomly allocated to the TECNOB program (n=37) or to a control condition (n=39). However, only 34 participants have completed at least the 3-month followup and have been included in this ad interim analysis. 21 out of them have reached also the 6-month follow-up and 13 have achieved the end of the program. Study is still on-going. Intervention: All participants attended 1-month inpatient intensive program that involved individualized medical care, diet therapy, physical training and brief psychological counseling. At discharge, participants allocated to the TECNOB program were instructed to use a weight-loss web-site, a web-based videoconference tool, a dietary software installed into their cellular phones and an electronic armband measuring daily steps and energy expenditure. Main Outcome Measures: Weight and disordered eating-related behaviors and cognitions (EDI-2) at entry to hospital, at discharge from hospital, at 3,6 and 12 months. Results: Ad interim analysis of data from 34 participants showed no statistically significant difference between groups in weight change at any time-point. However, within-group analysis revealed significant reductions of initial weight at discharge from hospital, at 3 months, at 6 months but not at 12 months. Control group had higher scores in Interpersonal distrust at 12 months. Conclusion: This ad interim findings revealed that the effect of the inpatient treatment was high and probably overwhelmed the effect of the TECNOB intervention. Much statistical power and long-term follow-up may enhance the probability to detect the TECNOB effect over and above the great one exerted by the inpatient program

Parathyroidectomy and survival in a cohort of Italian dialysis patients: results of a multicenter, observational, prospective study

Background: Severe secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) is associated with mortality in end stage kidney disease (ESKD). Parathyroidectomy (PTX) becomes necessary when medical therapy fails, thus highlighting the interest to compare biochemical and clinical outcomes of patients receiving either medical treatment or surgery. Methods: We aimed to compare overall survival and biochemical control of hemodialysis patients with severe hyperparathyroidism, treated by surgery or medical therapy followed-up for 36 months. Inclusion criteria were age older than 18 years, renal failure requiring dialysis treatment (hemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis) and ability to sign the consent form. A control group of 418 patients treated in the same centers, who did not undergo parathyroidectomy was selected after matching for age, sex, and dialysis vintage. Results: From 82 Dialysis units in Italy, we prospectively collected data of 257 prevalent patients who underwent parathyroidectomy (age 58.2 ± 12.8 years; M/F: 44%/56%, dialysis vintage: 15.5 ± 8.4 years) and of 418 control patients who did not undergo parathyroidectomy (age 60.3 ± 14.4 years; M/F 44%/56%; dialysis vintage 11.2 ± 7.6 y). The survival rate was higher in the group that underwent parathyroidectomy (Kaplan–Meier log rank test = 0.002). Univariable analysis (HR 0.556, CI: 0.387–0.800, p = 0.002) and multivariable analysis (HR 0.671, CI:0.465–0.970, p = 0.034), identified parathyroidectomy as a protective factor of overall survival. The prevalence of patients at KDOQI targets for PTH was lower in patients who underwent parathyroidectomy compared to controls (PTX vs non-PTX: PTH < 150 pg/ml: 59% vs 21%, p = 0.001; PTH at target: 18% vs 37% p = 0.001; PTH > 300 pg/ml 23% vs 42% p = 0.001). The control group received more intensive medical treatment with higher prevalence of vitamin D (65% vs 41%, p = 0.0001), calcimimetics (34% vs 14%, p = 0.0001) and phosphate binders (77% vs 66%, p = 0.002). Conclusions: Our data suggest that parathyroidectomy is associated with survival rate at 36 months, independently of biochemical control. Lower exposure to high PTH levels could represent an advantage in the long term. Graphical abstract: [Figure not available: see fulltext.]

TECNOB: study design of a randomized controlled trial of a multidisciplinary telecare intervention for obese patients with type-2 diabetes

Obesity is one of the most important medical and public health problems of our time: it increases the risk of many health complications such as hypertension, coronary heart disease and type 2 diabetes, needs long-lasting treatment for effective results and involves high public and private costs. Therefore, it is imperative that enduring and low-cost clinical programs for obesity and related co-morbidities are developed and evaluated. METHODS/DESIGN: TECNOB (TEChnology for OBesity) is a comprehensive two-phase stepped down program enhanced by telemedicine for the long-term treatment of obese people with type 2 diabetes seeking intervention for weight loss. Its core features are the hospital-based intensive treatment (1-month), that consists of diet therapy, physical training and psychological counseling, and the continuity of care at home using new information and communication technologies (ICT) such as internet and mobile phones. The effectiveness of the TECNOB program compared with usual care (hospital-based treatment only) will be evaluated in a randomized controlled trial (RCT) with a 12-month follow-up. The primary outcome is weight in kilograms. Secondary outcome measures are energy expenditure measured using an electronic armband, glycated hemoglobin, binge eating, self-efficacy in eating and weight control, body satisfaction, healthy habit formation, disordered eating-related behaviors and cognitions, psychopathological symptoms and weight-related quality of life. Furthermore, the study will explore what behavioral and psychological variables are predictive of treatment success among those we have considered. DISCUSSION: The TECNOB study aims to inform the evidence-based knowledge of how telemedicine may enhance the effectiveness of clinical interventions for weight loss and related type-2 diabetes, and which type of obese patients may benefit the most from such interventions. Broadly, the study aims also to have a effect on the theoretical model behind the traditional health care service, in favor of a change towards a new "health care everywhere" approach

Risk factors and action thresholds for the novel coronavirus pandemic. Insights from the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey

365noBackground and aim: Over 80% (365/454) of the nation’s centers participated in the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey. Out of 60,441 surveyed patients, 1368 were infected as of April 23rd, 2020. However, center-specific proportions showed substantial heterogeneity. We therefore undertook new analyses to identify explanatory factors, contextual effects, and decision rules for infection containment. Methods: We investigated fixed factors and contextual effects by multilevel modeling. Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis was used to develop decision rules. Results: Increased positivity among hemodialysis patients was predicted by center location [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.34, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20–1.51], positive healthcare workers (IRR 1.09, 95% CI 1.02–1.17), test-all policy (IRR 5.94, 95% CI 3.36–10.45), and infected proportion in the general population (IRR 1.002, 95% CI 1.001–1.003) (all p < 0.01). Conversely, lockdown duration exerted a protective effect (IRR 0.95, 95% CI 0.94–0.98) (p < 0.01). The province-contextual effects accounted for 10% of the total variability. Predictive factors for peritoneal dialysis and transplant cases were center location and infected proportion in the general population. Using recursive partitioning, we identified decision thresholds at general population incidence ≥ 229 per 100,000 and at ≥ 3 positive healthcare workers. Conclusions: Beyond fixed risk factors, shared with the general population, the increased and heterogeneous proportion of positive patients is related to the center’s testing policy, the number of positive patients and healthcare workers, and to contextual effects at the province level. Nephrology centers may adopt simple decision rules to strengthen containment measures timely.nonenoneNordio M.; Reboldi G.; Di Napoli A.; Quintaliani G.; Alberici F.; Postorino M.; Aucella F.; Messa P.; Brunori G.; Brunori G.; Bosco M.; Malberti F.; Mandreoli M.; Mazzaferro S.; Movilli E.; Ravera M.; Salomone M.; Santoro D.; PostorinoLimido M.A.; Bonomini M.; Stingone A.; Maccarone M.; Di Loreto E.; Stacchiotti L.; Malandra R.; Chiarella S.; D'Agostino F.; Fuiano G.; Nicodemo L.; Bonofiglio R.; Greco S.; Mallamaci F.; Barreca E.; Caserta C.; Bruzzese V.; Galati D.; Tramontana D.; Viscione M.; Chiuchiolo L.; Tuccillo S.; Sepe M.; Vitale F.; Ciriana E.; Santoro D.; Martignetti V.; Caserta D.; Stizzo A.; Romano A.; Iulianiello G.; Cascone E.; Minicone P.; Chiricone D.; Delgado G.; Barbato A.; Celentano S.; Molfino I.; Coppola S.; Raiola I.; Abategiovanni M.; Borrelli S.; Margherita C.; Bruno F.; Ida M.; Aliperti E.; Potito D.; Cuomo G.; De Luca M.; Merola M.; Botta C.; Garofalo G.; Alinei P.; Paglionico C.; Roano M.; Vitale S.; Ierardi R.; Fimiani V.; Conte G.; Di Natale G.; Romano M.; Di Marino V.; Scafarto A.; Meccariello S.; Pecoraro C.; Di Stazio E.; Di Meglio E.; Cuomo A.; Maresca B.; Rotaia E.; Capasso G.; Auricchio M.; Pluvio C.; Maddalena L.; De Maio A.; Palladino G.; Buono F.; Gigliotti G.; Mandreoli M.; Mancini E.; La Manna G.; Storari A.; Mosconi G.; Cappelli G.; Scarpioni R.; Gregorini M.; Rigotti A.; Mancini W.; Bianco F.; Boscutti G.; Amici G.; Tosto M.; Fini R.; Pace G.; Cioffi A.; Boccia E.; Di Lullo L.; Di Zazzo G.; Simonelli R.; Bondatti F.; Miglio L.; Rifici N.; Treglia A.; Muci M.; Baldinelli G.; Rizzi E.; Lonzi M.; De Cicco C.; Forte F.; De Paolis P.; Grandaliano G.; Cuzziol C.; Torre V.M.; Sfregola P.; Rossi V.; Fabio G.; Flammini A.; Filippini A.; Onorato L.; Vendola F.; Di Daniela N.; Alfarone C.; Scabbia L.; Ferrazzano M.; Grotta B.D.; Gamberini M.; Fazzari L.; Mene P.; Morgia A.; Catucci A.; Palumbo R.; Puliti M.; Marinelli R.; Polito P.; Marrocco F.; Morabito S.; Rocca R.; Nazzaro L.; Lavini R.; Iamundo V.; Chiappini M.; Casarci M.; Morosetti M.; Hassan S.; Alfarone C.; Ferrazzano M.; Firmi G.; Galliani M.; Serraiocco M.; Feriozzi S.; Valentini W.; Sacco P.; Garibotto G.; Cappelli V.; Saffioti C.; Repetto M.; Rolla D.; Lorenz M.; Pedrini L.; Polonioli D.; Galli E.; Ruggenenti P.; Scolari F.; Bove S.; Costantino E.; Bracchi M.; Mangano S.; Depetri G.; Malberti F.; La Milia V.; Farina M.; Zecchini S.; Savino R.; Melandri M.; Guastoni C.; Paparella M.; Gallieni M.; Minetti E.; Bisegna S.; Messa P.; Righetti M.; Badalamenti S.; Guastoni C.; Alberghini E.; Bertoli S.; Fabbrini P.; Albrizio P.; Rampino T.; Colturi C.; Rombola G.; Lucatello A.; Guerrini E.; Ranghino A.; Lenci F.; Fanciulli E.; Santarelli S.; Damiani C.; Garofalo D.; Sopranzi F.; Santoferrara A.; Di Luca M.; Galiotta P.; Brigante M.; Manganaro M.; Maffei S.; Berto I.; Besso L.; Viglino G.; Besso L.; Cusinato S.; ChiarinottiChiappero D.F.; Tognarelli G.; Gianoglio B.; Salomone M.; Forneris G.; Biancone L.; Savoldi S.; Vitale C.; Boero R.; Filiberti O.; Borzumati M.; Gesualdo L.; Lomonte C.; Gernone G.; Pallotta G.; Di Paolo S.; Vernaglione L.; Specchio A.; Stallone G.; Dell'Aquila R.; Aucella F.; Sandri G.; Russo F.; Napoli M.; Marangi A.; Morrone L.; Di Stratis C.; Fresu A.; Cicu F.; Murtas S.; Manca O.; Pani A.; Pilloni M.; Pistis R.; Cadoni M.; Contu B.; Logias F.; Ivaldi R.; Fancello S.; Cossu M.; Lepori G.; Lepori G.; Vittoria S.; Battiati E.; Arnone M.; Rome M.; Barbera A.; Granata A.; Collura G.; Dico C.L.; Pugliese G.; Di Natale E.; Rizzari G.; Cottone L.; Longo N.; Battaglia G.; Marcantoni C.; Giannetto G.; Tumino G.; Randazzo F.; Bellissimo L.; Faro F.L.; Grippaldi F.; Urso S.; Quattrone G.; Todaro I.; Vincenzo D.; Murgo A.; Masuzzo M.; Pisacane A.; Monardo P.; Santoro D.; Pontorierro M.; Quari C.; Bauro A.; Chimenz R.R.; Alfio D.; Girasole F.; Cascio A.L.; Caviglia A.; Tornese F.; Sirna F.; Altieri C.; Cusumano R.; Saveriano V.; La Corte A.; Locascio G.; Rotolo U.; Rome M.; Musso S.; Risuglia L.; Blanco G.; Minardo G.; Castellino S.; Zappulla Z.; Randone S.; Di Francesca M.; Cassetti C.C.; Oddo G.; Buscaino G.; Mucaria F.; Barraco V.I.; Di Martino A.; Mucaria F.; Rallo D.; Dani L.; Campolo G.; Manescalchi F.; Biagini M.; Agate M.; Panichi V.; Casani A.; Traversari L.; Garosi G.; Brunori G.; Tabbi M.; Selvi A.; Cencioni L.; Fagugli R.; Timio F.; Leveque A.; Manes M.; Mennella G.; Calo L.; Fiorini F.; Abaterusso C.; Calzavara P.; Nordio M.; Meneghel G.; Bonesso C.; Gambaro G.; Gammaro L.; Rugiu C.; Dell'Aquila R.; Dell'Aquila R.; Ronco C.; Rugiu C.Nordio, M.; Reboldi, G.; Di Napoli, A.; Quintaliani, G.; Alberici, F.; Postorino, M.; Aucella, F.; Messa, P.; Brunori, G.; Brunori, G.; Bosco, M.; Malberti, F.; Mandreoli, M.; Mazzaferro, S.; Movilli, E.; Ravera, M.; Salomone, M.; Santoro, D.; Postorinolimido, M. A.; Bonomini, M.; Stingone, A.; Maccarone, M.; Di Loreto, E.; Stacchiotti, L.; Malandra, R.; Chiarella, S.; D'Agostino, F.; Fuiano, G.; Nicodemo, L.; Bonofiglio, R.; Greco, S.; Mallamaci, F.; Barreca, E.; Caserta, C.; Bruzzese, V.; Galati, D.; Tramontana, D.; Viscione, M.; Chiuchiolo, L.; Tuccillo, S.; Sepe, M.; Vitale, F.; Ciriana, E.; Santoro, D.; Martignetti, V.; Caserta, D.; Stizzo, A.; Romano, A.; Iulianiello, G.; Cascone, E.; Minicone, P.; Chiricone, D.; Delgado, G.; Barbato, A.; Celentano, S.; Molfino, I.; Coppola, S.; Raiola, I.; Abategiovanni, M.; Borrelli, S.; Margherita, C.; Bruno, F.; Ida, M.; Aliperti, E.; Potito, D.; Cuomo, G.; De Luca, M.; Merola, M.; Botta, C.; Garofalo, G.; Alinei, P.; Paglionico, C.; Roano, M.; Vitale, S.; Ierardi, R.; Fimiani, V.; Conte, G.; Di Natale, G.; Romano, M.; Di Marino, V.; Scafarto, A.; Meccariello, S.; Pecoraro, C.; Di Stazio, E.; Di Meglio, E.; Cuomo, A.; Maresca, B.; Rotaia, E.; Capasso, G.; Auricchio, M.; Pluvio, C.; Maddalena, L.; De Maio, A.; Palladino, G.; Buono, F.; Gigliotti, G.; Mandreoli, M.; Mancini, E.; La Manna, G.; Storari, A.; Mosconi, G.; Cappelli, G.; Scarpioni, R.; Gregorini, M.; Rigotti, A.; Mancini, W.; Bianco, F.; Boscutti, G.; Amici, G.; Tosto, M.; Fini, R.; Pace, G.; Cioffi, A.; Boccia, E.; Di Lullo, L.; Di Zazzo, G.; Simonelli, R.; Bondatti, F.; Miglio, L.; Rifici, N.; Treglia, A.; Muci, M.; Baldinelli, G.; Rizzi, E.; Lonzi, M.; De Cicco, C.; Forte, F.; De Paolis, P.; Grandaliano, G.; Cuzziol, C.; Torre, V. M.; Sfregola, P.; Rossi, V.; Fabio, G.; Flammini, A.; Filippini, A.; Onorato, L.; Vendola, F.; Di Daniela, N.; Alfarone, C.; Scabbia, L.; Ferrazzano, M.; Grotta, B. D.; Gamberini, M.; Fazzari, L.; Mene, P.; Morgia, A.; Catucci, A.; Palumbo, R.; Puliti, M.; Marinelli, R.; Polito, P.; Marrocco, F.; Morabito, S.; Rocca, R.; Nazzaro, L.; Lavini, R.; Iamundo, V.; Chiappini, M.; Casarci, M.; Morosetti, M.; Hassan, S.; Alfarone, C.; Ferrazzano, M.; Firmi, G.; Galliani, M.; Serraiocco, M.; Feriozzi, S.; Valentini, W.; Sacco, P.; Garibotto, G.; Cappelli, V.; Saffioti, C.; Repetto, M.; Rolla, D.; Lorenz, M.; Pedrini, L.; Polonioli, D.; Galli, E.; Ruggenenti, P.; Scolari, F.; Bove, S.; Costantino, E.; Bracchi, M.; Mangano, S.; Depetri, G.; Malberti, F.; La Milia, V.; Farina, M.; Zecchini, S.; Savino, R.; Melandri, M.; Guastoni, C.; Paparella, M.; Gallieni, M.; Minetti, E.; Bisegna, S.; Messa, P.; Righetti, M.; Badalamenti, S.; Guastoni, C.; Alberghini, E.; Bertoli, S.; Fabbrini, P.; Albrizio, P.; Rampino, T.; Colturi, C.; Rombola, G.; Lucatello, A.; Guerrini, E.; Ranghino, A.; Lenci, F.; Fanciulli, E.; Santarelli, S.; Damiani, C.; Garofalo, D.; Sopranzi, F.; Santoferrara, A.; Di Luca, M.; Galiotta, P.; Brigante, M.; Manganaro, M.; Maffei, S.; Berto, I.; Besso, L.; Viglino, G.; Besso, L.; Cusinato, S.; Chiarinottichiappero, D. F.; Tognarelli, G.; Gianoglio, B.; Salomone, M.; Forneris, G.; Biancone, L.; Savoldi, S.; Vitale, C.; Boero, R.; Filiberti, O.; Borzumati, M.; Gesualdo, L.; Lomonte, C.; Gernone, G.; Pallotta, G.; Di Paolo, S.; Vernaglione, L.; Specchio, A.; Stallone, G.; Dell'Aquila, R.; Aucella, F.; Sandri, G.; Russo, F.; Napoli, M.; Marangi, A.; Morrone, L.; Di Stratis, C.; Fresu, A.; Cicu, F.; Murtas, S.; Manca, O.; Pani, A.; Pilloni, M.; Pistis, R.; Cadoni, M.; Contu, B.; Logias, F.; Ivaldi, R.; Fancello, S.; Cossu, M.; Lepori, G.; Lepori, G.; Vittoria, S.; Battiati, E.; Arnone, M.; Rome, M.; Barbera, A.; Granata, A.; Collura, G.; Dico, C. L.; Pugliese, G.; Di Natale, E.; Rizzari, G.; Cottone, L.; Longo, N.; Battaglia, G.; Marcantoni, C.; Giannetto, G.; Tumino, G.; Randazzo, F.; Bellissimo, L.; Faro, F. L.; Grippaldi, F.; Urso, S.; Quattrone, G.; Todaro, I.; Vincenzo, D.; Murgo, A.; Masuzzo, M.; Pisacane, A.; Monardo, P.; Santoro, D.; Pontorierro, M.; Quari, C.; Bauro, A.; Chimenz, R. R.; Alfio, D.; Girasole, F.; Cascio, A. L.; Caviglia, A.; Tornese, F.; Sirna, F.; Altieri, C.; Cusumano, R.; Saveriano, V.; La Corte, A.; Locascio, G.; Rotolo, U.; Rome, M.; Musso, S.; Risuglia, L.; Blanco, G.; Minardo, G.; Castellino, S.; Zappulla, Z.; Randone, S.; Di Francesca, M.; Cassetti, C. C.; Oddo, G.; Buscaino, G.; Mucaria, F.; Barraco, V. I.; Di Martino, A.; Mucaria, F.; Rallo, D.; Dani, L.; Campolo, G.; Manescalchi, F.; Biagini, M.; Agate, M.; Panichi, V.; Casani, A.; Traversari, L.; Garosi, G.; Brunori, G.; Tabbi, M.; Selvi, A.; Cencioni, L.; Fagugli, R.; Timio, F.; Leveque, A.; Manes, M.; Mennella, G.; Calo, L.; Fiorini, F.; Abaterusso, C.; Calzavara, P.; Nordio, M.; Meneghel, G.; Bonesso, C.; Gambaro, G.; Gammaro, L.; Rugiu, C.; Dell'Aquila, R.; Dell'Aquila, R.; Ronco, C.; Rugiu, C

Risk factors and action thresholds for the novel coronavirus pandemic. Insights from the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey

Background and aim: Over 80% (365/454) of the nation’s centers participated in the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey. Out of 60,441 surveyed patients, 1368 were infected as of April 23rd, 2020. However, center-specific proportions showed substantial heterogeneity. We therefore undertook new analyses to identify explanatory factors, contextual effects, and decision rules for infection containment. Methods: We investigated fixed factors and contextual effects by multilevel modeling. Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis was used to develop decision rules. Results: Increased positivity among hemodialysis patients was predicted by center location [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.34, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20–1.51], positive healthcare workers (IRR 1.09, 95% CI 1.02–1.17), test-all policy (IRR 5.94, 95% CI 3.36–10.45), and infected proportion in the general population (IRR 1.002, 95% CI 1.001–1.003) (all p &lt; 0.01). Conversely, lockdown duration exerted a protective effect (IRR 0.95, 95% CI 0.94–0.98) (p &lt; 0.01). The province-contextual effects accounted for 10% of the total variability. Predictive factors for peritoneal dialysis and transplant cases were center location and infected proportion in the general population. Using recursive partitioning, we identified decision thresholds at general population incidence ≥ 229 per 100,000 and at ≥ 3 positive healthcare workers. Conclusions: Beyond fixed risk factors, shared with the general population, the increased and heterogeneous proportion of positive patients is related to the center’s testing policy, the number of positive patients and healthcare workers, and to contextual effects at the province level. Nephrology centers may adopt simple decision rules to strengthen containment measures timely

Risk factors and action thresholds for the novel coronavirus pandemic. Insights from the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey

Background and aim: Over 80% (365/454) of the nation\u2019s centers participated in the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey. Out of 60,441 surveyed patients, 1368 were infected as of April 23rd, 2020. However, center-specific proportions showed substantial heterogeneity. We therefore undertook new analyses to identify explanatory factors, contextual effects, and decision rules for infection containment. Methods: We investigated fixed factors and contextual effects by multilevel modeling. Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis was used to develop decision rules. Results: Increased positivity among hemodialysis patients was predicted by center location [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.34, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20\u20131.51], positive healthcare workers (IRR 1.09, 95% CI 1.02\u20131.17), test-all policy (IRR 5.94, 95% CI 3.36\u201310.45), and infected proportion in the general population (IRR 1.002, 95% CI 1.001\u20131.003) (all p &lt; 0.01). Conversely, lockdown duration exerted a protective effect (IRR 0.95, 95% CI 0.94\u20130.98) (p &lt; 0.01). The province-contextual effects accounted for 10% of the total variability. Predictive factors for peritoneal dialysis and transplant cases were center location and infected proportion in the general population. Using recursive partitioning, we identified decision thresholds at general population incidence 65 229 per 100,000 and at 65 3 positive healthcare workers. Conclusions: Beyond fixed risk factors, shared with the general population, the increased and heterogeneous proportion of positive patients is related to the center\u2019s testing policy, the number of positive patients and healthcare workers, and to contextual effects at the province level. Nephrology centers may adopt simple decision rules to strengthen containment measures timely

Risk factors and action thresholds for the novel coronavirus pandemic. Insights from the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey

Over 80% (365/454) of the nation's centers participated in the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey. Out of 60,441 surveyed patients, 1368 were infected as of April 23rd, 2020. However, center-specific proportions showed substantial heterogeneity. We therefore undertook new analyses to identify explanatory factors, contextual effects, and decision rules for infection containment